It’s not a perfect comparison, but in a race where the rest of the competition is somewhat weak and no clear undeniable frontrunner is present it makes it possible for Gaga to get in.
Mikey Madison isn't screaming Best Actress winner to me, and Jolie's movie also got mixed reviews. Honestly we need to chill a bit. There's like six months left in the race.
The Best Actress race this year feels kinda fluid. No one feels like an undeniable frontrunner atm so Gaga should maybe just stay lead and try to get the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Musical/Comedy to reposition herself in the race.