Charts Discussion : DWAS / Anticipation of LG7 lead

[little legend]

On 10/5/2024 at 7:14 PM, BenG said:

Max WoW decrease

• 100 days to 1B streams: -3.5%
• #1 fastest to 1B streams: -6.1%
• #2 fastest to 1B streams: -7.1%
• End 2024 with 1B streams: -11.1%

Refined the model and the max WoW decrease allowed are smaller than from the previous version

Previous model:

  Hide contents

Max WoW decrease

• 100 days to 1B streams: -4.0%
• #1 fastest to 1B streams: -6.7%
• #2 fastest to 1B streams: -7.9%
• End 2024 with 1B streams: -12.0%

so probably DWAS will be the fastest song to reach 1B streams on Spotify but it wont do it in less than 100 days

[BenG]

On 10/5/2024 at 6:38 PM, Dean Judaster said:

Wait what happened?

Not this becoming a PA911 meme

[xo_hours]

[BenG]

On 10/5/2024 at 6:43 PM, little legend said:

so probably DWAS will be the fastest song to reach 1B streams on Spotify but it wont do it in less than 100 days

Still too early to tell tbh. The WoW decrease here is assumed to be constant but the actual decrease might be less after this week. Harlequin probably gave it a little boost and it's rolling over that.

Also, LG7 lead may help it reach 1B faster.

Spoiler

The refined model takes into account the pattern throughout the week, e.g. Sunday has low streams etc. It currently uses the last 7 days to determine this pattern, which makes it susceptible to noise such as changes in playlisting and Harlequin boost. It could be further refined by taking more past data into account but I'll leave that for future work

Edited October 5 by BenG

[Dean Judaster]

On 10/5/2024 at 2:45 PM, xo_hours said:

Thank You Gaga Inflation

[Dean Judaster]

Gaga hitting new milestones 16 years into her career

Slaying digital sales and now streams

We're far from the shallow now

[corvus albus Pronounshe/him]

 

This is a nice, relatively spoiler-free analysis of the movie and its backlash. You might want to use this in the future

[BenG]

On 10/5/2024 at 6:56 PM, corvus albus said:

This is a nice, relatively spoiler-free analysis of the movie and its backlash. You might want to use this in the future

Erm what this has a huge spoiler

Edited October 5 by BenG

[little legend]

On 10/5/2024 at 7:48 PM, BenG said:

Still too early to tell tbh. The WoW decrease here is assumed to be constant but the actual decrease might be less after this week. Harlequin probably gave it a little boost and it's rolling over that.

Also, LG7 lead may help it reach 1B faster.

  Hide contents

The refined model takes into account the pattern throughout the week, e.g. Sunday has low streams etc. It currently uses the last 7 days to determine this pattern, which makes it susceptible to noise such as changes in playlisting and Harlequin boost. It could be further refined by taking more past data into account but I'll leave that for future work

 

dont leave that for future work

you need to work and optimize the current susceptible to noise pattern

[BenG]

On 10/5/2024 at 7:06 PM, little legend said:

 

dont leave that for future work

you need to work and optimize the current susceptible to noise pattern

habit of a phd student to squeeze out more papers - draw a line once there's enough work done 

[cherryboom]

5 (=) Lady Gaga, Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile (Official Music Video) 3,768,099 44,049 likes

[corvus albus Pronounshe/him]

On 10/5/2024 at 8:05 PM, BenG said:

Erm what this has a huge spoiler

I said relatively

Also, to read the whole thing you need to actually click on it. Meaning, 100% won't read the analysis 

[ViviLittleM]

 

[BenG]

On 10/5/2024 at 7:10 PM, corvus albus said:

I said relatively

Also, to read the whole thing you need to actually click on it. Meaning, 100% won't read the analysis 

not when it's the highlighted part

[XXXlop]

On 10/5/2024 at 7:56 PM, corvus albus said:

 

This is a nice, relatively spoiler-free analysis of the movie and its backlash. You might want to use this in the future

Nice analysis, however I think the main problem in the film is not the idea behind the argument, but the execution of that idea.

The same idea, could have been telled in a much better way. 

That's why it's just a bad movie.

[corvus albus Pronounshe/him]

On 10/5/2024 at 8:12 PM, XXXlop said:

Nice analysis, however I think the main problem in the film is not the idea behind the argument, but the execution of that idea.

The same idea, could have been telled in a much better way. 

That's why it's just a bad movie.

Spoiler

The quality of the movie is irrelevant, we need to look at Swifties that close ranks when Taylor does something stupid.

 

[Moonlight Shadow]

Like seriously even if Joker has faults, there is no way it's worse than Morbius starring crap actor Jared Leto.

I don't know why they all wanted Joker to the panned movie of the moment, but it's trully going real too far.

Edited October 5 by Moonlight Shadow

[corvus albus Pronounshe/him]

On 10/5/2024 at 8:11 PM, BenG said:

not when it's the highlighted part

As a teacher, I know people are really lazy. Especially the older ones

5th and 6th graders are the only ones that I can rely on at this point

[sugden]

When we get the "we were to harsh on joker 2" essays and becomes a cult classic 

[dllcll]

On 10/5/2024 at 7:15 PM, Moonlight Shadow said:

Like seriously even if Joker has faults, there is no way it's worst than Morbius starring crap actor Jared Leto.

I don't know why they all wanted Joker to the panned movie of the moment, but it's trully going too far.

I think it would have to go hand in hand with the moviegoers’ expectations, the fans of the first movie definitely had something different in mind etc vs morbius that people knew was going to be terrible. 

I watched JFAD today and honestly liked it, the pacing sometimes was off but the overall idea is quite interesting