Charts Thread - Stream all of Gagas songs!

[OreoÀDeux Pronounshe/him]

On 11/30/2022 at 2:55 PM, BenG said:

• Scenario 1: 1,580,000 peak streams, RMSE = 11,200
• Scenario 2: 1,630,000 peak streams, RMSE = 7,908*
• Scenario 3: 1,680,000 peak streams, RMSE = 8,052
• Scenario 4: 1,730,000 peak streams, RMSE = 10,581
• Scenario 5: 1,780,000 peak streams, RMSE = 23,058

*Most likely scenario out of the above 5

 

what does RMSE mean? 

[BenG]

On 11/30/2022 at 3:02 PM, BloodyOreo said:

what does RMSE mean? 

Root-mean-square error, which measures the error between projection and actual data. The lower the RMSE, the “better” the projection as it models the trajectory more accurately.

[Emi Pronounshe/him]

On 11/30/2022 at 12:04 PM, BenG said:

Root-mean-square error, which measures the error between projection and actual data. The lower the RMSE, the “better” the projection as it models the trajectory more accurately.

[Adarsh]

The Rolling Stones are releasing a live album which will feature “Gimme Shelter ft Lady Gaga” 

 

[BenG]

Today’s update significantly reduces the uncertainty of the peak, as it signals a strong “bending” of the curve. This might change with other unforeseen factors, e.g. Bobé writing a cheque. 

[OreoÀDeux Pronounshe/him]

On 11/30/2022 at 3:06 PM, Adarsh said:

The Rolling Stones are releasing a live album which will feature “Gimme Shelter ft Lady Gaga” 

 

first gen-z and now boomers 

[OreoÀDeux Pronounshe/him]

On 11/30/2022 at 3:07 PM, BenG said:

Today’s update significantly reduces the uncertainty of the peak, as it signals a strong “bending” of the curve. This might change with other unforeseen factors, e.g. Bobé writing a cheque. 

it's still missing an actual effect on lot of key markets, I guess it depends if they are just harder to break or will not break at all... if it's the latter I can see it peaking in the next few days 

Edited November 30, 2022 by BloodyOreo

[corvus albus Pronounshe/him]

 

A hit

[OreoÀDeux Pronounshe/him]

@ItsGenuineGuy09 I wonder if there's any relationship between the fact that HoG smashed in eastern-european countries and how well her music is being received since then in said countries. I think it was you who said that HoG basically performed like a Marvel movie in those markets, then Hold My Hand did surprisingly well in those countries, and her viral trends/boosts seem to gain the more traction there, as we can see by Bloody Mary absolutely obliterating eastern european music charts. 

[Gypsy Life]

On 11/30/2022 at 4:55 PM, BenG said:

• Scenario 1: 1,580,000 peak streams, RMSE = 11,200
• Scenario 2: 1,630,000 peak streams, RMSE = 7,908*
• Scenario 3: 1,680,000 peak streams, RMSE = 8,052
• Scenario 4: 1,730,000 peak streams, RMSE = 10,581
• Scenario 5: 1,780,000 peak streams, RMSE = 23,058

*Most likely scenario out of the above 5

Methodology:

Curve-fitting on scaled and shifted sigmoid function. Most likely scenario chosen based on lowest root-mean-square error.

 

On 11/30/2022 at 5:04 PM, BenG said:

Root-mean-square error, which measures the error between projection and actual data. The lower the RMSE, the “better” the projection as it models the trajectory more accurately.

I don't know what those words mean, but I'd bet this is not peaking any lower than 2m

[OreoÀDeux Pronounshe/him]

On 11/30/2022 at 3:16 PM, Gypsy Life said:

 

I don't know what those words mean, but I'd bet this is not peaking any lower than 2m

a bet vs. mathematics 

perched to see who wins this one 

[BenG]

Note: Peak streams for each scenario are based on long-term (assuming all listeners that streamed will keep streaming) peak for current growth. It will very likely not hit the cited peak in reality.

[OreoÀDeux Pronounshe/him]

Spoiler

hoping for the bet, expecting the maths 

 

[Emi Pronounshe/him]

Audio continues rising on YouTube 

[BenG]

Any big market that just started booming?

[corvus albus Pronounshe/him]

On 11/30/2022 at 4:20 PM, BenG said:

Any big market that just started booming?

Bloody Mary is performing well in Germany and Brazil just jumped onto the ship as well.

UK, France and Italy looking decent so far.

[OreoÀDeux Pronounshe/him]

On 11/30/2022 at 3:20 PM, BenG said:

Any big market that just started booming?

#2 and #35 on itunes in Brazil + #12 (+36) on shazam + #38 on Apple Music

it entered today on the spotify chart but hopefully it's gonna blow up more there 

[Emi Pronounshe/him]

Apple Music (General)

#190 (+9) France

[zoldyck]

On 11/30/2022 at 8:25 PM, emig_09 said:

Apple Music (General)

#190 (+9) France

we are far from shallow pop sections 

[Andreu]